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FURNACE OIL | HIGH SPEED DIESEL | MOTOR GASOLINE | LIQUEFIED PETROLEUM GAS

FURNACE OIL:

  • Furnace Oil ("FO") is a major source of fuel for power and industrial sectors with power sector accounting for 72% of total consumption in FY 05.

  • Cement (5%) and other industries (23%) account for the remaining 28%. FO is a deficit product and about 31% of domestic consumption was met through imports during FY 05.

  • FO was deregulated in July 2000 leading to stiff competition amount MOCs and oil traders actively engaged in the marketing and import of FO.

  • FO sales experienced a decline of 15% in FY 03 and further 44% in FY 04 mainly due to increase in availability of gas and water for the power sector and conversion of cement plants to coal and gas fired systems.

  • FO sales bounced back in FY 05 with a growth rate of 23% due to shortage of water and disruption of gas supplies.



    FO DEMAND & SUPPLY (000 TONS) 3723
     
    3051
     
       
    8000   7750
     
                4592
     
    3059
     
       
    7000         6663
     
    3069
     
       
    6000          
    5000   3143
     
         
    4000  
    3000  
    2000  
    1000  
    0  
      FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05  

          Demand Production  



    Sectoral Consumption of FO (000 Tons) 1230
     
    2493
     
       
        1544
     
    6113
     
            1272
     
    3319
     
       
    7000   1265
     
    5398
     
       
    6000    
    5000    
    4000  
    3000  
    2000  
    1000  
    0  
      FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05  

          Others Power Sector  

HIGH SPEED DIESEL:

  • High Speed Diesel ( "HSD") in terms of volume, is the most consumed POL product in Pakistan. HSD is a deficit product and about 55% of domestic consumption was met through imports during FY 05.


  • Transport & agriculture sectors are the main consumers accounting for 90% of total consumption.

  • The demand of HSD grew at a CAGR of 3.6% during FY 05

  • During the last two years the growth in HSD consumption has been contributed primarily by a significant increase in freight movement and growth in agriculture sector

  • HSD is a partially deregulated product; OMCs are authorized to fix and notify HSD prices individually on cost competition basis and as per parameters set by GOP but OMC margin is capped at 3.5% and dealer margin at 4%



    HSD Demand & Supply (000 Tons) 7334
     
    3050
     
       
    8000   6964
     
    2517
     
              7734
     
    3454
     
       
    7000       7014
     
    2721
     
       
    6000        
    5000        
    4000  
    3000  
    2000  
    1000  
    0  
      FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05  


          Demand Production  



    Sectoral Consumption of HSD (000 Tons) 6614
     
    747
     
       
    8000   6414
     
    550
     
              7013
     
    724
     
       
    7000       6418
     
    596
     
       
    6000        
    5000        
    4000  
    3000  
    2000  
    1000  
    0  
      FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05  

          Transport & Agriculture Others  

MOTOR GASOLINE:

  • Pakistan has been able to meet local requirement of Motor Gasoline ("Mogas") through local production since PARCO came online in 2001

  • Local refineries produced 1.33 million tons of Mogas during FY 05

  • Transport sector is the main consumer accounting for 98% of total consumption

  • The demand for Mogas grew at a CAGR of 6.8% during FY 02-FY 05

  • Mogas consumption increased to 1,332 tons in FY 05 from 1,265 tons in FY 04 due to the growth in the number of cars and motorcycles. However, there has been a decline in Mogas consumption of 11% during 1H FY 06 when compared to same period last year due to availability of cheaper fuels such as CNG and continuous increase in oil prices

  • Mogas is a regulated product and OMC margin is fixed at 3.5% and dealer margin at 4%



    Mogas Demand & Supply (000 Tons) 1268
     
    1263
     
       
    1500   1095
     
    1116
     
              1332
     
    1323
     
       
            1104
     
    1062
     
       
     
    1000        
             
       
    500  
       
       
    0  
      FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05  

          Demand Production  



    Sectoral Consumption of Mogas (000 Tons) 1268
     
    31
     
       
    1500   1102
     
    19
     
              1332
     
    42
     
       
            1104
     
    38
     
       
     
    1000        
             
       
    500  
       
       
    0  
      FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05  

          Transport & Agriculture Others  

LIQUEFIED PETROLEUM GAS:

  • Mainly used by domestic and commercial consumers

  • Consumption in the country has increased by a CAGR of 10.3% over the last 6 years due to increasing prices of kerosene and other alternatives



    LPG Deman & Supply (000 Tons) 415
     
    380
     
       
    500   357
     
    348
     
              452
     
    412
     
       
    450
    400
    350       373
     
    355
     
       
    300        
    250        
    200  
    150  
    100  
    50  
    0  
      FY 02 FY 03 FY 04 FY 05  

          Demand Production  

    FUTURE OUTLOOK OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTS

    14000                
    13800
     
    1700
     
    2300
     
    5100
     
    760
     
    1000
     
     
    900
     
    300
     
    500
     
    1500
     
    210
     
    1000
     
     
       
    12000  
       
    10000  
     
    8000  
    4800
     
    1400
     
    1800
     
    3600
     
    550
     
    0
     
    6000
    4014
     
    1180
     
    1673
     
    3158
     
       
       
    4000   0
     
    2000 402
     
    0%
      Supply Yr-05 Estd. Supply FY-12 Demand FY-12 Available Domestic Market



 

 Diesel    SK/J-I    Gasoline    Furnace Oil    LPG    Pet Coke
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